Quando i numeri ingannano. Imparare a vivere con l'incertezza

Interesting but disappointingly one-dimensional book whose sole idea is that: The medical (and legal) community communicates risk badly, partly due to a misguided belief in infallibility/certainty but mainly due to an ability to understand or compute Bayesian type uncertainties (what is the probabil Leggi tutto

This book is a shortcut to statistical numeracy. Gigerenzer goes beyond being merely infomative, and helps the reader understand how to interpret, and what questions to ask to get the information needed to properly quantify risks.

Q: What is going on in our minds? (c) Q: My agenda is to present mind tools that can help my fellow human beings to improve their understanding of the myriad uncertainties in our modern technological world. The best technology is of little value if people do not comprehend it. (c) And easy-peasy read o Leggi tutto

Although this book was pretty dense and took me a while to read, I think Gigerenzer did an excellent job of explaining (often convaluted and complex) statistical reasoning in simple terms so that a common (non-mathematically excitable) person can see the error that so many professionals (doctors, la Leggi tutto

This was an interesting read. I had to read it for a risk communication and uncertainty module as a part of my masters course. I thought things were explained really well and there were interesting examples but to be honest at one point all the disease things just started getting a little triggering Leggi tutto

Vertraue keiner Statistik, die du nicht selber gefälscht hast. So kann eine Zusammenfassung des Buchs lauten. So einfach und so banal. Egal ob DNA Test oder Wahrscheinlichkeiten - sie sollten einfach und verständlich sein.

Interesting content, though poorly organized and presented.